Tuesday, September 10

Full Brexit will be longer takes up to seven years


 

 

Theresa May is set to ask the European Union for an extra transition period that would see full Brexit delayed until around seven years after the vote to Leave.

Under the plans, briefed by government officials to The Timesnewspaper, the whole of the United Kingdom would stay aligned with EU regulations and customs procedures until 2023 to help avoid a hard border in Ireland. It comes on top of a two-year transition period from 2019 to the start of 2021 which has already been agreed.

The latest plan for a longer transition is intended as a replacement for the border backstop agreed by negotiators in December under which the UK would maintain full alignment with the single market if no other solution could be found, to remove the need for border checks.

Despite having been agreed in theory, that earlier policy now faces opposition from both the DUP and Brexiteers in the Cabinet but for different reasons, and the UK Government now says it is unacceptable and will come up with new proposals.

The new plan, expected to be unveiled by the Government in early June, is extremely unlikely to be looked on favourably by Brussels which says the backstop cannot be time-limited and must apply only to Northern Ireland.

The old “backstop” agreed in December originally looked like a done deal, but is now being interpreted in such different ways by the EU and UK that it is again a major barrier to concluding a withdrawal agreement.

Whatever backstop is agreed, it now looks increasingly likely to come into play on the Northern Ireland border with no other solution to the customs conundrum on the horizon.

The EU says under the December agreement just Northern Ireland would stay in full alignment with the single market and customs union to prevent a hard border, while UK negotiators say they actually agreed that the whole UK would do so. The relevant text is somewhat ambiguous as to what was agreed.

The time-limiting element has now been introduced by the UK because Cabinet Brexiteers like Boris Johnson fear that an indefinite backstop could be a backdoor way of keeping the UK aligned with the EU in perpetuity. Ministers have publicly confirmed that a time limited backstop is on the way.

The UK’s transition is designed to give officials more time to come up with another solution to solve the border but means there would be yet another cliff-edge.

A Government spokesperson did not deny the reports of the plan, only telling The Independent: We’re not going to be drawn on speculation the PM has said we will bring forward our plans on the backstop shortly.